MisleadingCharts
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The piggy bank that grew as the cube of the tuition

Showing the misleading chart

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A college-savings deck draws one year of tuition in each sector as a piggy bank scaled uniformly in height, width and depth — so a private college’s real 3.8× sticker gap over the average state school swells into a bank holding about 53 times the savings, and 1,275 times the community college’s. Drawn as bars, the gaps return to what the labels say — and the stickers aren’t even the bill: net of grant aid, first-year in-state students at public four-years pay about $2,300, and community-college grant aid has covered tuition since 2009–10.

01The claim

A private year is a vault; a community-college year, a coin jar. Set the four banks side by side and the choice stares down at you from three storeys up — the gap only grows while you wait, so match the bank before the bank outgrows you, and start saving yesterday.

02The trick

Every price on the shelf is the College Board’s, printed honestly beneath its bank — $4,150 for a year at the average community college, $11,950 at a public four-year in-state, $31,880 out-of-state, $45,000 at a private nonprofit — and the deck’s own footnote confesses the method: each piggy bank is “drawn to scale in all three dimensions.” That confession is the crime. Our coffee-cup almanac and hydrogen balloon scale an icon’s height and width to the value, so the ink grows as the square and a 2.9× gap reads as 8×; the piggy bank goes one dimension further. A rendered solid is judged by what it could hold, and volume grows as the cube of the scale: the private bank, drawn 3.8 times taller than the state school’s, is also 3.8 times wider and 3.8 times deeper, a vessel holding 3.8³ ≈ 53 times the savings for 3.8 times the tuition. Against the community college the cube runs away completely — 10.8 times the price becomes a bank with roughly 1,275 times the capacity, which is how an option that costs about a tenth as much gets drawn as a rounding error at the vault’s feet. Even measured as flat ink on the page the gap has already been squared to ≈14×; the third dimension compounds it to 53. The taxonomy’s arithmetic is exactly this: double a value and a height-scaled icon looks quadrupled — and in 3D, octupled. (This exhibit is our own demonstration in the house style of a college-savings marketing deck, drawn from the College Board’s published tables rather than from any real firm’s brochure.)

03The fix

Give each price one dimension and the shelf tells the truth: as plain bars on a zero-based axis, private is 3.8× the state school, not a vault over a coin jar; leaving your state roughly triples the public sticker (2.7×); and the community college undercuts the private sticker by 10.8×, an honestly enormous gap that never needed inflating. If the piggy-bank metaphor is worth keeping, scale its volume to the value and the private bank stands just ∛3.8 ≈ 1.6 times as tall as the state school’s (2.2× the community college’s) — still visibly bigger, now truthfully so. Then comes the caveat the deck buried: the sticker isn’t the bill. Among first-time full-time students, average net tuition and fees — what’s actually paid once grant aid lands — run about $2,300 at public four-year in-state colleges, down in real terms from a $4,450 peak in 2012–13, and $16,910 at private nonprofits, down from $19,810 in 2006–07; at community colleges, grant aid has covered the average tuition bill entirely since 2009–10. The ironies stack: the net gap between private and public, 7.4×, is proportionally larger than the sticker gap the deck felt it had to cube — and the sticker story itself was already real, with public four-year prices doubling in inflation-adjusted terms since 1995–96 ($5,940 to $11,950 in 2025 dollars). A savings pitch survives honest drawing just fine. The tell generalizes to every rendered object on a chart — cups, barrels, piggy banks, planets: check the printed ratio against how big the shapes feel, and ask which dimension the designer scaled. Height alone squares the lie; a solid you could fill cubes it.